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Business & Economy

Gold Is Ghana’s Shield Against External Shocks, But Time to Capitalize Is Limited — Dr. Theo Acheampong

Ghana’s gold sector has become the country’s key economic shield, boosting reserves and exports, but Dr. Theo Acheampong warns the window to fully capitalize is limited.

Gold Is Ghana’s Shield Against External Shocks, But Time to Capitalize Is Limited — Dr. Theo
Solomon Boakye
Mar 4, 2026

Ghana’s external sector has undergone a quiet revolution in recent years, and at the heart of it lies gold. Once just one of many export commodities, gold has now become the country’s economic lifeline, buffering the cedi and bolstering foreign reserves in ways few could have imagined.

Economist Dr. Theo Acheampong says the transformation is remarkable but warns that the window to fully capitalize on these gains is limited.

In his analysis, Acheampong states: “An analysis of Ghana’s gross international reserves and gold export earnings from 2010 to 2025 reveals a significant structural shift in the country’s external sector, especially in the last few years.”

By Dr. Theo Acheampong
By Dr. Theo Acheampong

He outlines how the landscape evolved. During the 2022–23 debt crisis, Ghana’s reserves plummeted as the cedi weakened. Dr. Theo Acheampong notes that “the 2022‑23 debt crisis marked a turning point,” after which the Bank of Ghana stepped up its domestic gold purchase programme, buying gold directly from artisanal miners to rebuild foreign exchange buffers.

The results have been striking. From $7.6 billion in gold exports in 2023 to $11.6 billion in 2024, and an estimated $20 billion in 2025 following the establishment of the Ghana Gold Board, gold’s contribution to the economy has surged. Gross international reserves climbed to a record $13.8 billion, equivalent to 5.7 months of import cover, the highest ever in recent memory.

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As Acheampong puts it, “The impact has been good.” Today, he highlights, “Gold now accounts for over 60% of Ghana’s total export revenue, according to BoG statistics.” This shift has helped shore up reserves and strengthen the country’s ability to weather external shocks.

But Dr. Acheampong warns that this period of strength has limits. “Ghana has potentially 2 to 3 year window to consolidate these gains before gold prices start mean reversion [correction],” he writes. He adds that “maximising this opportunity also requires addressing supply chain concerns around traceability, particularly in the artisanal and small‑scale mining sector.”

In other words, Ghana has bought itself a rare opportunity, a breathing space provided by gold to strengthen reserves, stabilize the cedi, and support import cover. But as Dr. Acheampong emphasizes,  the window to fully reap its benefits may be short.

Strengthening governance and supply chains in mining, especially at the artisanal level, will be critical if Ghana is to turn this temporary windfall into lasting resilience.

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