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Sub-Saharan Africa’s Growth Outlook Improves, but Job Creation Still a Major Challenge — World Bank

The World Bank projects Sub-Saharan Africa’s growth at 3.8% in 2025, driven by easing inflation, but warns job creation and debt risks remain major challenges.

Africa’s Growth Recovery Stalls as External Shocks, Debt Pressures Mount
Isaac Aidoo
Oct 8, 2025

Sub-Saharan Africa’s economy is showing signs of resilience, with growth projected to reach 3.8 percent in 2025, up from 3.5 percent in 2024, according to the World Bank’s latest Africa’s Pulse report. The improvement reflects easing inflation pressures and a modest recovery in investment despite global uncertainty.

Inflation, which has burdened households and businesses over the past few years, is beginning to ease. The number of countries with double-digit inflation has dropped from October 23, 2022 to July 10, 2025, suggesting progress in stabilizing prices across the region.

Still, the World Bank cautioned that several risks could slow recovery. These include weaker investor confidence, lower global demand, and a decline in development assistance. Debt vulnerabilities remain high, with external debt service now accounting for 2 percent of GDP, more than double the level recorded a decade ago. The number of Sub-Saharan African countries in or near debt distress has nearly tripled from 8 in 2014 to 23 in 2025, representing almost half the region.

While the region’s growth momentum is improving, it remains too weak to make a meaningful dent in poverty or absorb Africa’s rapidly expanding labor force. The continent’s working-age population is projected to grow by over 600 million people in the next 25 years, creating both an opportunity and a challenge for policymakers.

“The real test for Africa will be how it matches this population growth with decent jobs,” said Andrew Dabalen, the World Bank’s Chief Economist for the Africa Region. “At present, only 24 percent of new workers secure wage-paying jobs. Building more medium and large firms is key to generating jobs at scale.”

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The report outlines several policy priorities to support stronger, job-led growth. These include reducing the cost of doing business, investing in reliable infrastructure such as energy, transport, and digital systems, and improving education and skills development.

The World Bank also pointed to the need for greater private sector participation in high-potential areas like agribusiness, mining, tourism, healthcare, housing, and construction. In tourism, for example, every direct job created can lead to an additional 1.5 jobs in related industries.

With the right mix of reforms and investments, the World Bank says Sub-Saharan Africa can unlock its employment potential, strengthen its economies, and move closer to achieving inclusive and sustainable growth.

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