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Business & Economy

Rising Oil Imports Threaten Cedi Stability

Efforts to tame the cedi faces major risk in the coming weeks due to the direction of global price for crude oil

Annatu Mohammed
Jul 30, 2024

The stability of Ghana’s currency, the cedi, is in jeopardy due to rising oil imports, which have sparked concerns about the nation’s ability to maintain a stable exchange rate. The increase in oil imports, which climbed from $422.6 million in May 2024 to $428.3 million in June 2024, is placing the cedi under significant strain, potentially undermining recent gains and endangering the country’s economic prosperity.

The bid/offer ratio on the retail market ended the week at 15.75/16, indicating a 1.48% decline in the cedi’s value relative to the US dollar. The spike in oil imports has led to increased demand for foreign exchange, further pressuring the cedi. To address this, the Bank of Ghana has sold $40 million to oil importers through the Bulk Distribution Companies (BDCs) FX auction.

The cedi’s depreciation poses a risk to Ghana’s economy, particularly affecting imports and overall stability. The recent surge in global oil prices has exacerbated the country’s oil import bill, putting additional pressure on the cedi. Ghana’s growing economy has driven up oil demand, which cannot be met by domestic production, leading to greater reliance on imports and further weakening the cedi.

In response to the rising oil imports and their impact on the cedi, the Ghanaian government has announced several measures to mitigate the situation. Efforts will be made to utilize more natural gas and renewable energy sources to reduce reliance on imported oil. The government plans to implement a mechanism to stabilize gasoline prices and lessen the effect of international price fluctuations on the local market.

Additionally, the Bank of Ghana will introduce policies to control foreign exchange flows and reduce the demand for foreign currency. To further mitigate reliance on oil imports, the government will intensify efforts to diversify the economy and promote non-oil exports.

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These measures aim to bolster the cedi’s stability and support Ghana’s economic resilience amid rising oil import challenges.

Source: myjoyonline.com

 

 

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