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Business & Economy

Global Green Energy Shift Could Drive Down Oil Prices in 2025 – DataBank Research

Databank Research predicts that the global green energy transition could reduce oil prices in 2025, easing inflation and stabilizing economies reliant on energy imports.

Solar pannel grazing animal
Solomon Boakye
Dec 28, 2024

Databank Research has projected that the ongoing global transition to green energy could drive a reduction in international oil prices in 2025, potentially easing costs for domestic essentials and stabilizing monetary environments.

The research highlights the impact of declining oil demand, particularly from China, as a key factor in the anticipated price drop.

According to Databank, the global shift toward renewable energy and sustainable practices is reshaping energy consumption patterns, with China, a major oil consumer, reducing its reliance on fossil fuels. This decrease in demand is expected to exert downward pressure on oil prices internationally.

The report suggests that lower oil prices will not only suppress inflationary pressures but also create a more stable monetary environment for economies heavily reliant on energy imports.

“As the global shift towards green energy progresses, we expect decreases in demand, particularly from China, to drive down international oil prices, further suppressing costs for domestic essentials and potentially sustaining a stable monetary environment,” the report stated.

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China has been a leader in the global green energy transition, investing heavily in renewable energy technologies and infrastructure. The country produces more than 80% of the world’s solar panels and has rapidly expanded its wind energy capacity. 

In the automotive sector, electric vehicle (EV) sales in China are expected to surpass traditional combustion engine vehicles for the first time in 2025, with EV sales projected to exceed 12 million units.

Other countries are also making significant strides in the transition to green energy. Germany’s “Energiewende” initiative aims to generate 80% of its energy from renewable sources by 2030, while Italy plans to phase out coal-fired electricity by 2025, replacing it with renewable and gas-fired energy.

Portugal is accelerating its goals, targeting 80% renewable energy by 2026, and the Netherlands has achieved record growth in solar and wind energy, now generating over half of its electricity from renewables. These collective efforts are reshaping the global energy landscape and driving down oil demand.

In Africa, Ghana has introduced electric vehicles into its transportation sector, launching its first fleet of electric buses to reduce urban pollution and promote sustainable transport solutions.

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Islamic Finance to Complement, Not Disrupt Ghana’s Banking Sector – Prof Gatsi Islamic banking is set to broaden Ghana’s financial landscape by complementing, rather than competing with, the country’s conventional banking system, Policy Advisor on Islamic Banking at the Bank of Ghana, Professor John Gatsi, has emphasised. Speaking amid heightened public debate on the formal rollout of Islamic banking, Prof Gatsi explained that non-interest finance offers unique structures designed to deepen financial inclusion, drive infrastructure development, and support economic diversification, especially in trade and commerce. “Non-interest banking and finance is poised to enhance our market economic structure. It will not outperform conventional structures because it is not a competitor. Rather, it plays crucial complementary roles in municipal, central government, and private sectors’ infrastructure and enterprise funding.” Prof Gatsi clarified. His comments come as the Bank of Ghana works to finalise regulatory frameworks for licensing Islamic financial institutions, paving the way for a model that prohibits interest-based transactions in line with Sharia principles. Prof Gatsi cited international experiences to dismiss fears that Islamic banking could destabilise Ghana’s financial system. He highlighted countries such as the UK, Saudi Arabia, Dubai, Turkey, Japan, Canada, France, the Netherlands, Nigeria, Uganda, Hong Kong, Singapore, Luxembourg, the US, and Malaysia, where Islamic and conventional banks co-exist seamlessly. “These institutions have not even competed with conventional banks, let alone dismantled them. The apprehension that Islamic finance and banking will negatively affect conventional banks in the country is not rooted in progressive information widely available to regulators globally.” he said. According to him, introducing Islamic banking will enable Ghana to achieve economies of scope, expand access to finance for underserved populations, and diversify funding sources for trade and commerce. “Non-interest banking will achieve financial inclusion, diversification in financing trade and commerce, as well as project finance for government and the private sectors of the economy,” he noted. Prof Gatsi also underscored the socio-economic benefits of Islamic finance in supporting the achievement of the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), particularly through empowerment of women entrepreneurs and ethical financing models that avoid speculative risk. “Furthermore, non-interest banking and finance will provide unique support to women entrepreneurs and contribute to achieving the SDGs,” he added. Analysts say Islamic banking has the potential to attract new capital flows into Ghana’s economy, especially from Middle Eastern and Asian investors seeking Sharia-compliant opportunities, while boosting confidence in the inclusivity of the financial sector. As regulatory preparations continue, stakeholders await further directives from the Bank of Ghana to operationalise what experts describe as a transformative pillar for inclusive economic growth.

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