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Must-Know 10

10 Must-Know Economic Updates  in 2025

Ghana’s 2025 outlook shows moderate growth, falling inflation, stronger cedi, key reforms, and persistent challenges in youth unemployment, climate impact, and illegal mining. Stability efforts continue

Ghana’s Fiscal Discipline Appears to Be Paying Off with First Primary Surplus Since March 2024
The High Street Journal
May 21, 2025

1. Ghana’s Economic Growth Set at 4.0% for 2025: The IMF projects Ghana’s economy to grow by 4.0% in 2025, slightly below the government’s 4.4% target. Growth is expected to be driven by the services and industrial sectors, despite possible slowdowns in agriculture due to seasonal factors.

2. Inflation Continues to Decline: Consumer inflation has dropped for five straight months, reaching 21.2% in April 2025, down from 22.4% in March. This trend is linked to a stronger cedi and falling food prices.

3. The Cedi Gains Strength Against the Dollar: The Ghanaian cedi appreciated to GH¢12.40 per dollar, improving from GH¢13.15, supported by strong forex inflows, lower corporate demand, and effective central bank interventions.

4. Government Tackles $2.5 Billion Energy Sector Debt: Plans are underway to clear debts owed to power producers and gas suppliers by end-2025 through restructuring and involving the private sector in electricity billing and revenue collection.

5. Major Tax Reforms Rolled Out: To ease the burden on citizens and stimulate economic activity, Ghana has scrapped several taxes, including the 1% E-levy, 10% withholding tax on lottery wins, and VAT on motor insurance policies.

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6. Foreigners Banned from Small-Scale Gold Trade: Starting May 1, 2025, foreigners are no longer allowed to trade or buy artisanally mined gold. The new Ghana Gold Board (GoldBod) now oversees all small-scale gold trade and exports.

7. Youth Unemployment at 19.7%: Youth joblessness remains a serious concern. Despite numerous employment programs, poor coordination and program overlap continue to undermine effectiveness and impact.

8. Climate Change Threatens Key Sectors: Erratic rainfall and rising temperatures are endangering agriculture, energy, and water resources. Ghana faces urgent pressure to implement adaptation strategies for climate resilience.

9. Illegal Mining Continues to Wreak Havoc: “Galamsey” activities are damaging farmlands, polluting rivers, and draining tax revenues. The government has intensified crackdowns to combat environmental and economic losses.

10. IMF Program Spurs Economic Reforms: Ghana is undergoing its fourth IMF review, focusing on fiscal consolidation and structural reforms. These efforts aim to stabilize the economy and meet the program’s recovery benchmarks.

So what?

Ghana’s economic path in 2025 shows signs of cautious recovery. While progress is being made in areas like inflation, currency stability, and reform, challenges such as youth unemployment, illegal mining, and climate risks demand sustained attention and bold action.

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